Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 9.545540 11.056380 12.676992 14.538717 16.612213 18.844497 21.423191
2025-04-06 7.770238 9.763447 12.036267 14.799309 18.046040 21.718315 26.163128
2025-04-13 6.536272 8.804863 11.528234 14.996136 19.249244 24.248649 30.519286
2025-04-20 5.737168 8.213645 11.321504 15.436898 20.665721 27.006977 35.189915
2025-04-27 5.059563 7.662914 11.065062 15.730662 21.845635 29.464619 39.537670
2025-05-04 4.406226 7.047868 10.636728 15.723241 22.584481 31.346712 43.187369
2025-05-11 3.656916 6.197623 9.792497 15.063024 22.382456 31.962715 45.191131
2025-05-18 3.161961 5.651926 9.307655 14.832125 22.703386 33.228714 48.034282
2025-05-25 2.716085 5.122564 8.788164 14.494250 22.828043 34.201813 50.484038
2025-06-01 2.374677 4.715013 8.406318 14.313486 23.139722 35.411587 53.259731
2025-06-08 2.041884 4.278029 7.934250 13.952058 23.151549 36.180769 55.428121
2025-06-15 1.848438 4.057450 7.782510 14.061008 23.844062 37.913083 58.964175
2025-06-22 1.643580 3.792877 7.538006 14.009410 24.294579 39.319641 62.096658
2025-06-29 1.499624 3.623704 7.436958 14.175015 25.073948 41.217315 65.970858
2025-07-06 1.369309 3.463755 7.335781 14.327896 25.830727 43.094992 69.855881
2025-07-13 1.289320 3.395184 7.388945 14.736815 27.000410 45.613245 74.729006
2025-07-20 1.198386 3.291571 7.367910 15.012980 27.961393 47.837108 79.215498
2025-07-27 1.080427 3.112925 7.190643 15.002887 28.449975 49.347789 82.671087
2025-08-03 0.904826 2.776595 6.680117 14.365800 27.869253 49.183833 83.599463
2025-08-10 0.794163 2.574133 6.411404 14.142971 27.961786 50.057158 86.102666
2025-08-17 0.686846 2.361220 6.100101 13.817493 27.857939 50.607163 88.111895
2025-08-24 0.605076 2.199376 5.878469 13.643410 28.001152 51.545604 90.731287
2025-08-31 0.519312 2.010086 5.578358 13.295535 27.818269 51.943669 92.506652